OK, so you probably noticed the headline and concluded that I’ve lost my mind … again.
But I’m not joking. The headline wasn’t click bait.
It’s the truth.
The Cardinals have one of the top offenses in the majors since the All-Star break.
A maligned St. Louis offense that’s competed in 138 games without the frightening presence of a BIG BAT in the middle of the lineup, is doing very well with their overall collection of sturdy bats.
Since the All-Star break the Cardinals had a 28-22 record through Tuesday’s late-night win at San Diego. That .560 winning percentage is tied for fourth in the National League, post-break.
Even without a bat-carrying wildebeest leading the assault on opposing pitchers, the Cardinals’ offense is the No. 1 reason for the team’s persistence in staying in the postseason hunt.
A thick percentage of this improvement can be attributed to Tommy Pham and prominent rookies Paul DeJong and Jose Martinez. And, to a lesser extent, the rookie hitting of Luke Voit. And, more recently, to the recent call-up of rookie outfielder Harrison Bader.
This isn’t meant to exclude or diminish the hitting craft work of veterans such as Dexter Fowler, Matt Carpenter, Yadier Molina, Kolten Wong, or Jedd Gyorko.
But Pham and the the rookies have made the most difference for a logical reason: they’ve come to the rescue of an offense that needed help.
And they’re all part of the Memphis Muscle: a group of position players that began the season with the Cardinals’ Triple A affiliate.
Here are the “Before” and “After” National League rankings for the STL offense.
(“Before” the All-Star break … and “After” the All-Star break.)
RUNS PER GAME: 4.57 before, ranked 10th … after: 5.16, ranked 2nd.
BATTING AVERAGE: .255 before; ranked 8th … after: .270, ranked 3rd.
ONBASE PERCENTAGE: .329 before; ranked 3rd … after: .348, ranked 3rd.
SLUGGING PERCENTAGE: .424 before; ranked 9th … after: .448, ranked third.
ONBASE+SLUGGING, OPS: .753 before; ranked 9th … after: .796, ranked 3rd.
* PARK-ADJUSTED RUNS CREATED (wRC+): 103 before; ranked 7th… after: 116, ranked 2nd.
OPS WITH RUNNERS IN SCORING POSITION: .771 before; ranked 9th … after: .818, ranked 4th
(* wRC+ offensive figure is for non-pitchers. A wRC+ of 100 is league average.)
What about the Cardinals’ inconsistency on offense? Good question. That was my impression too. But when I checked the numbers, using the Play Index at Baseball Reference , the consistency was better than I’d assumed.
This season the Cardinals have scored 3 runs or fewer in a game 54 times. That looks like too many low-scoring games, but it’s all relative. Consider: 21 MLB teams that have scored 3 or fewer runs in a game more times than St. Louis this season.
The same applies to the number of games scoring 4 or fewer runs; the Cardinals have done that 73 times this season. That sounds bad, but only nine teams have a scored 4 or less runs in a contest fewer times than STL.
Pham’s dynamic season is an essential component in the Cards’ energized offense. As good as Pham was between his call-up on May 5, and to the All-Star break — .895 OPS, and a 137 wRC+ — he’s turned up the numbers in the second half: a .960 OPS, and 157 wRC+.
And what about the rookies? DeJong, Martinez and the others have boosted the offense. Keep in mind that DeJong wasn’t promoted until late May. And that the distribution of playing time for Martinez has been too light.
In the season’s first half, Cardinals rookies accounted for 16.8 percent of the team’s homers and 13 percent of the runs batted in.
In the second half, Cardinals rookies have accounted for 37 percent of the homers and 30.3 percent of the RBIs.
If you want to include Pham with the rookies as an honorary member, then Pham and the rooks have hit 50 percent of the Cards’ homers, delivered 41 percent of the RBIs, and scored 40 percent of the runs since the All-Star break.
Since his MLB debut on May 28, DeJong has slammed 21 homers — and the only rookies to hit more home runs over that time are Cody Bellinger (27) and Aaron Judge (21.)
Among MLB rookies that have have as many or more plate appearances than DeJong this season (352), DeJong is third with a .538 slugging percentage.
With only 228 plate appearances, Jose Martinez has maximized his opportunities. Among MLB rookies with a minimum of 228 plate appearances, ranks No. 2 with a .374 OBP, is third with a .567 slug, and and is third with a .941 OPS. Only Aaron Judge has more park-adjusted runs created (157) than Martinez (144) this season (minimum 220 PA.)
The Cardinals may not have that BIG BAT … and presumably they will go on an offseason expedition to search for that BIG BAT.
Don’t stress over that right now. It’s been fun to watch terrific offensive talent emerge from Memphis — or in Pham’s case, from baseball purgatory — to spark the Cards offense.
An offense that is keeping the team’s postseason hopes afloat.
An offense that’s one of the best in the show since the All-Star break.
Thanks for reading …